OWN GOLD ALWAYS
Smart investors always diversify. Wise investors always include
gold in their asset mix. Unlike paper investments such as stocks,
bonds, and even dollars, gold is always in demand. When the Internet
bubble burst, a ton of tech stocks fell to pennies, even to zero.
Since 1980, an ounce of gold has never been worth less than $250.
For 6,000 years, since the beginning of recorded history, gold
has been revered as a storehouse of financial value as well as
a beautiful substance with which to fabricate jewelry and works
of art. From Egyptian pharaohs to modern-day magnates such as George
Soros, Warren Buffet, and Bill Gates, people have acquired gold
to maintain and increase their wealth. Even in the most stable
times or when the stock and/or real estate markets are on fire,
the smart money keeps 5-10% of its assets in gold. Being smart,
they do not put all their faith in money managers and stock brokers
whose income depends on encouraging investment in paper assets.
They know that the political and economic climate often changes
rapidly and unexpectedly, as it did, for example, on Sep. 11, 2001,
and with the US invasion and occupation of Iraq.
In another article
we describe the urgent reasons to invest in gold today and the
potentially enormous profits you can reap from investing in gold
today. Here, however, we stick with the reasons why wise investors
always own gold.
Constant demand
About 80% of the gold bought today
is used to make jewelry. Gold jewelry is in high demand not only
in the world's richest and most industrialized countries,
but also in India, China, and other Asian countries, as well as
in Latin America and Africa. The gold jewelry market is so diverse
that when demand declines in one area, it is likely to rise in
another. Furthermore, demand for gold jewelry tends to decline
only during periods of economic downturn. But it is precisely during
such periods that investment demand for gold rises rapidly.
Constant
rarity
Companies can and do issue additional shares of stock,
diluting the shares already held by investors. Governments print
money and inject it into the economy, diluting the cash in your
pocket and bank accounts. Even many non-paper assets, such as
mass produced collectibles, are, well, mass-produced. Their supply
is essentially infinite.
Gold, however, is one of the scarcest
substances on earth. Tons of ore must be processed to produce
an ounce of gold. According to the US Bureau of Mines, all the
gold ever mined throughout history and throughout the world would
build a cube measuring only 60 feet on edge. Furthermore, as
relatively easy-to-mine sources are depleted, new sources of
gold are harder and harder to find. And it takes, on average,
about seven years to bring a new source of gold into commercial
production, which creates a major gap between increasing demand
and increasing supply.
Universal liquidity
Many hard assets do
not have the liquidity of stocks and bonds. There are times when
it can take months or even years to sell real estate, art, or
collectibles such as carpets or antiques. Gold, in the form of
bars or bullion coins issued by the US Mint and other mints,
is traded on an active global market in North and South America,
Europe, Africa, and Asia. It is always easy to buy gold and easy
to sell it.
Nor are gold sales encumbered by the paperwork and
government tax filings that characterize stock and bond trades.
Even if stock markets fail, banks close, and governments are
in crisis - in fact, especially under those circumstances - there
are eager bidders for gold in every city and country in the world.
True diversification
Our parents told us, "Don't put
all your eggs in one basket." Investment advisors also preach
the virtue of diversification. But by "diversification" they
often mean split your assets between stocks and bonds, and between
large cap, mid-cap, and small cap growth and value stocks, with
some international equities thrown in. Unfortunately, when the
whole stock market swoons, especially when the bond market crashes
alongside it, you can find yourself holding only one basket after
all. Such scenarios can and do take place in real life, as many
of us have discovered from reading about the Japanese stock market,
or about recent events in Argentina - or from reading our
own portfolio statements.
Gold, however, is a true portfolio diversifier.
Its "correlation coefficient" with the price of global
stock has ranged within plus or minus 0.4 since 1993, averaging
around zero. In plain English, that means that the price of gold
does not vary with the stock market, but independently from the
stock market. Owning gold really is holding another basket.
Always own gold
Constant demand, constant rarity, universal liquidity,
and true diversification. These are among the key reasons a wise
investor always owns gold as a portion of his or her portfolio.
Although more investment advisors are recommending gold now than
during the 1990s, most still ignore gold and favor holding only
paper assets. They have no way of profiting from recommending
buying physical gold, which may have something to do with their
outlook. In our view, such narrow thinking is always wrong. In
today's
economic and political environment, it is horribly, even tragically,
wrong.
|